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        <full_title>WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS AND CONTROL</full_title>
        <issn media_type="print">1991-8763</issn>
        <issn media_type="electronic">2224-2856</issn>
      </journal_metadata>
      <journal_article>
        <titles>
          <title>Sensitivity and Robustness Analysis of Hybrid Forecasting Models for Mission-Critical Energy Systems under Noisy Operational Conditions</title>
        </titles>
        <contributors>
          <person_name sequence="first" contributor_role="author">
            <given_name>Stylianos</given_name>
            <surname>Pappas</surname>
            <affiliations>
              <institution>
                <institution_name>Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Hellenic Naval Academy Terma Chatzikyriakou, 18539, Piraeus GREECE </institution_name>
              </institution>
            </affiliations>
          </person_name>
          <person_name sequence="additional" contributor_role="author">
            <given_name>Alexandros</given_name>
            <surname>Gazis</surname>
            <affiliations>
              <institution>
                <institution_name>Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, Xanthi, 67100, GREECE </institution_name>
              </institution>
            </affiliations>
          </person_name>
          <person_name sequence="additional" contributor_role="author">
            <given_name>Nikos</given_name>
            <surname>Mastorakis</surname>
            <affiliations>
              <institution>
                <institution_name>Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Hellenic Naval Academy Terma Chatzikyriakou, 18539, Piraeus GREECE</institution_name>
              </institution>
            </affiliations>
          </person_name>
        </contributors>
        <jats:abstract xml:lang="en">
          <jats:p>Reliable operation of modern power systems demands accurate forecasting. Errors can reduce resilience, especially in mission-critical military, defense, and strategic infrastructures. While hybrid forecasting models perform well under normal conditions, their robustness to noisy data still needs thorough evaluation. In this work, a sensitivity and robustness analysis of a novel adaptive hybrid forecasting framework is examined using two scenarios of correlated Gaussian noise. These scenarios were selected to represent measurement degradation, communication failures, and physical disturbances commonly encountered in resource-limited defense operational environments. The proposed hybrid method integrates the Multi Model Partitioning Filter, Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous models, and a Genetic Algorithm for Resource Allocation, with performance evaluated using real commercial data. The results highlight the successful performance of the proposed method and underline the importance of the sensitivity analysis as a validation process for forecasting methods intended for defense energy systems that need to remain highly reliable at all times.</jats:p>
        </jats:abstract>
        <publication_date media_type="print">
          <month>12</month>
          <day>31</day>
          <year>2025</year>
        </publication_date>
        <publication_date media_type="online">
          <month>12</month>
          <day>31</day>
          <year>2025</year>
        </publication_date>
        <pages>
          <first_page>595</first_page>
        </pages>
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          <item_number item_number_type="article_number">58</item_number>
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          <doi>10.37394/23203.2025.20.58</doi>
          <resource>https://wseas.com/journals/sac/2025/b185103-045(2025).pdf</resource>
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