WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics
Print ISSN: 1109-9526, E-ISSN: 2224-2899
Volume 22, 2025
Enhancing Remaining Time Prediction in Business Process Monitoring
via Cross-Entropy Supervised Entity Embeddings and Transformer
Model
Authors: , ,
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Abstract: Accurate prediction of the remaining time for ongoing business process instances is crucial for
making proactive decisions, meeting deadlines, and optimizing resource allocation. This paper introduces a
Transformer-based multitask learning framework that improves time prediction by incorporating an auxiliary
classification task. The auxiliary task supervises the learning of entity embeddings for categorical attributes in
event logs, using cross-entropy loss to guide the model toward more meaningful representations. By combining
temporal modeling with supervised embedding learning, the architecture addresses two core challenges in process
data: capturing sequence dependencies and understanding categorical relationships. Experiments on a real-world
container terminal data set show that the proposed approach reduces the absolute mean error by 48.4% and
the square root error by 39.8% compared to established baselines. These results demonstrate that embedding
supervision significantly improves predictive performance and can improve the reliability of time-related forecasts
in business process monitoring.
Keywords:
Business Process Monitoring, Predictive Process Monitoring, Transformer, Entity Embeddings, Multitask Learning, Remaining time prediction
Pages: 2779-2788
DOI: 10.37394/23207.2025.22.218